1 on Tour in Par 4 Scoring and 2nd in Par 5 Scoring. With its Elevated status, the purse has increased to an event-high $20M, which has attracted all eligible players inside the OWGR top-50. In his brief career, Ims had five Top 10 finishes in the state of Florida. Our golf tipster Jamie Worsley had another place on the PGA Tour last week, when Sepp Straka finished T5th at 45/1. Is he going to win? Ideally, the tour would like firm and fast fairways which would give 30 to 40 yards of roll out. The top-10 players in SG: T2G (Difficult Scoring Conditions) are Rory McIlroy, Scottie Scheffler, Max Homa, Collin Morikawa, Jon Rahm, Xander Schauffele, Sungjae Im, Jordan Spieth, Tony Finau, and Patrick Cantlay. The opening hole is a downhill, 500-yard "Par-5." (I'm air-quoting the designation because it could just as easily be labeled a difficult par-4.) These are the USGA guidelines for the par on each hole based on length. Wrap that altogether and the top-10 players in terms of Comp Course History are Scottie Scheffler, Collin Morikawa, Will Zalatoris, Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Hideki Matsuyama, Xander Schauffele, Keegan Bradley, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Shane Lowry. From an Approach standpoint, Bay Hill offers a different test on second shots than were used to seeing week to week on the PGA TOUR. Riviera CC also features a number of elevation changes and is heavily bunkered both around the fairways and green-side complexes. Players who go for more par-5 greens in two tend to look terrible in the proximity stat compared to players who lay up. Matsuyama, Young, Homa, and Sungjae Im are all players Ill be keeping a close eye on when odds release Monday. Riviera CCs sneaky length and persistent doglegs culminate into a funneling of about 75% of approach shots from beyond 150 yards. The average shot hit with a driver carried 260 yards and traveled a total of 287.3 yards, including the roll. The Bermuda grass greens are bigger than average Tour size and they are firm and fast. Id say Im committed regardless of the odds, and in addition to Zalatoris, will also be considering Max Homa, Collin Morikawa, and Sam Burns for my betting card when Arnold Palmer Invitational odds are released on Monday. February27February 27, 2023. rory mcilroy pga tour career mode best attributes. Will Zalatoris in difficult conditions. My guess is your winner will have to be excellent in at least two of those three areas this week. The "feel" isn't necessarily the feeling of the ball making contact with the putter face. As is normally the case when we get to a difficult golf course that tests all-around game, the markers of success at Bay Hill do not vary drastically from what it takes to succeed across all PGA TOUR courses. A cold putter has led to some disappointing recent finishes, but McIlroy continues to rank No. Eliminate the longest five and the shortest five, and then figure out the middle of the remaining group. Hell be on my betting card assuming his odds surpass 35-1. I mentioned that course form or course history, is very strong here at Bay Hill. As always here atTheLines, well go over an early look at the tournament, giving you what you need to know before the Genesis Invitational odds even hit the board. Most were using metal drivers. All of those factors come under the assumption that play occurs on a calm day, which were not always promised. Lets also remember, he lost in a playoff to Scottie Scheffler last year at TPC Scottsdale, one of our correlated courses. A slew of long Par 4s and long par-3s require long irons into multi-tiered greens at different elevation. in communications. Tony Finau can confirm. That means a lot of Scrambling from the green-side rough and difficult bunkers. Even more encouraging to me than the T4 placement however, is how hes finished tournaments. The year of his Open Championship victory at Royal St. George's, he led the tour in approaches from, 125 to 150 yards, 150 to 175 yards, and from 175 to 200 yards. The problem with the proximity stat is that it doesnt account for the initial distance of the approach. 1 on Tour for par 5s with a birdie or better, he is 7th in this field over the last 36 rounds for SG Off the Tee, and his putting has really come around ranking 35th in this field over the last 36 rounds for SG Putting. three appearances): Scott, Schauffele, Homa, Rahm, Hahn, Holmes, Collin Morikawa, Tony Finau, Patrick Cantlay, Jordan Spieth, Russell Henley, Alex Noren, KH Lee, Lanto Griffin, Scott Piercy, and Brian Harman. PGA Tour Average Proximity to Hole - Fairway (in yards) . Lob Wedge. These are all skillsets Matsuyama leaned into to win the 2021 Masters and have helped him contend regularly at this event over the years. It appears your browser may be outdated. In a weighted model of Recent Total Putting, Bermuda Putting, Fast Green Putting and Arnold Palmer Invitational Putting, the top-10 includes Taylor Montgomery, Sam Burns, Beau Hossler, Andrew Putnam, Tyrrell Hatton, Ben Taylor, Thomas Detry, Tommy Fleetwood, Lucas Herbert, and Justin Rose. Note, he has a 10th place finish here at Bay Hill, a 17th in Scottsdale, and lost to Justin Thomas in a playoff at Southern Hills in the 2022 PGA Championship. So, we should expect some patience from players to battle for four tough days of golf. Both courses are over 7,400 yards with an advantage to bombers, they feature thick and penal rough throughout, and have firm and fast Bermuda greens. Their success off the tee, however, didnt turn any of the three into dominant players. It appears your browser may be outdated. But the ideal player for Riviera CC should have total driving be a strength of their game. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. And, like Novak, he's doing it nicely. Hes never won on the east coast before, and had avoided coming to this event up until last year, where he lost 5+ strokes with his short game. After McIlroy, my models top-10 rounds out with: Homa, Finau, Morikawa, Rahm, Sungjae Im, Cantlay, Schauffele, Day, and Scheffler. PGA TOUR Stats. PGA TOUR | The Honda Classic Chris Kirk birdied the first hole of a playoff to claim the fifth victory of his PGA TOUR career - and the third finish of T3 or better in his last four starts since putting the NEW Pro V1x golf ball in play to begin the season. PGA Tour player approach shots: 100-125 yards GIR: 74.59% Proximity from the fairway: 20'0 Proximity from the rough: 30'3 PGA Tour player approach shots: 150-175 yards GIR: 63.95% Individual holes range from 100- 600 yards which are 90-550 meters. A few additional players with multiple top-20 finishes over the same span includes Charley Hoffman, Scottie Scheffler, Byeong Hun An, Max Homa, Sam Burns, Hideki Matsuyama, and Christiaan Bezuidenhout. For the week, Caseys average proximity was 41 feet 11 inches. Brian Harman is the 24th ranked player in the world yet is priced more than 3.5 times longer than 35-1. Even a flawless shot might result in a double bogey! The opening hole is a downhill, 500-yard Par-5. (Im air-quoting the designation because it could just as easily be labeled a difficult par-4.) Well see, but the price does seem high. It's also why Scott talks a lot about how it's much easier to avoid making bogeys than it is to make birdies. Riviera rewards shot makers who position themselves well off the tee, work their drives in both directions, and scramble at a high percentage around the tricky, undulated green complexes. The Genesis Invitational slightly favors longer hitters with great short game, particularly on Poa. 1 spot in my model this week. With the strongest field weve seen in recent memory on tap this week, the stakes will be higher than ever before. Historical Tournament Stats Comprehensive statistical breakdown of past PGA Tour tournaments. Bet on any golfer below by clicking on the odds in the table. According the Leaderboard website, PGA Tour players' average 4-iron shots travel 210 to 220 yards (including the roll). Over the last 36 rounds, Sungjae Im is 17th in this field for SG Ball Striking and 15th in SG Off the Tee. Will he even make the cut? . We saw Scottie Scheffler win at both tracks last year. For the best website. At the Genesis Invitational, Matsuyama gained strokes putting in three of his last four appearances. Start the Golf Season off right with InsideGOLF ($100 value - just $20). As a PGA Tour Professional, you would assume that the yardages would again be perfect and they're close, with an average of 150.8 yards. That has been proven here at Bay Hill with four visits to this tournament and finishes of 21st, 20th, 3rd, and 3rd. Matsuyama ranks top 10 in Bogey Avoidance (Difficult Scoring Conditions), Comp Course History, SG: ARG, Scrambling, Sand Saves, and SG: P (5-10 feet). It should begin to populate by midday Monday as sportsbooks open odds for the API. Ten feet farther from the hole on 72 approach shots is an enormous difference. This table shows how far the average golfer generally hits with each club when he or she makes solid contact. Driving Accuracy specialists like Reavie, Kuchar, and Donald found their fair share of success here. Over the last six years, only Kevin Chappell has registered four rounds in the 60s in the same API tournament. The top 10 players in SG: ARG are Thomas, Piercy, Donald, Matsuyama, Christiaan Bezuidenhout, Byeong Hun An, Taylor Montgomery, Kurt Kitayama, Brendon Todd, and Patrick Rodgers. This will be one of the most crucial weeks for short game outside of Majors. Hes won here before at Bay Hill back in 2016, he just finished 5th at Scottsdale three weeks ago, hes won at Quail Hollow, took 11th at Congaree back in October, and last summer, before this transition really blossomed, he made the cut and finished 55th at Southern Hills in the PGA Championship. About 75% of approach shots come from beyond 150 yards. Matsuyama has six top-20 finishes over the last two years between The Farmers, The Masters, Arnold Palmer Invitational, and U.S. Open at The Country Club. PGA Tour Average Proximity to Hole - Fairway (in yards) 29Jan 0. Its hardif not impossibleto win with poor putting and even worse approach shots. On a calm day, Riviera presents one of the toughest challenges we see across golf. After a pseudo bye week at the Honda Classic, all of the games best have returned to action in Orlando, Florida for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club & Lodge. Weve seenMatt Everywin as often asTiger Woodssince 2010 (twice). Like PGA National last week, penalties loom, with water hazards in play on nine holes. To strike high-quality golf shots, comprehending your club distance is essential. The. At 7,322 yards and par-71, Rivieras distance doesnt jump off the page. Cantlay challenged Rahm at the Genesis and here we are getting better than three times what the price is on Jon Rahm this week. PGA Tour players of the early 21st century unquestionably hit the ball farther than throughout the 20th century. In recent years, weve also seen the Genesis Invitational serve as a stage for young and burgeoning stars like Homa, Joaquin Niemann, Cameron Young, and Sam Burns. That attracts the best players each year to compete and test their all around skillsets ahead of Major season. pic.twitter.com/FnuG8URegM. A par-68 layout measuring at over 7,600 yards and. The perfect golfer for Riviera CC should be solid in Good Drives Gained + SG: OTT, Proximity: 150-200, and SG: Around the Green. Judging by PGA Championship futures, which tend to set a fair line with course history bias removed, I project Tiger to open at around 65-1. Missouri Valley Touranment Odds: Which Veteran-Laden Team Prevails? Currently I practice indoors because of the winter. 1 SG: T2G over the last 36 rounds, and will be in the top tier of favorites once again this week. Holmes was 55th at 70.52 while Watson tied for 64th at 70.62. If you want to bet on Tiger for the novelty of it, there is a non-zero chance he finds his way into the weekend through his short game alone. Although that list spans drastically different profiles of players, there is a prevailing trend of veterans whove proven consistent in difficult scoring conditions. The powerful lightweight lithium battery comes with a 5 year full warranty and the trolley has an extended 3 year warranty. The bottom of. Green Hit % % Short % Long: Proximity (ft) 24%: 61%: 15%: 86.3 (29 yards) . LPGA pros hit 4-irons that total 180 yards; 5-irons 170; 6-irons 159; 7-irons 147; 8-irons 135; and 9-irons 123 yards. Time: 2:30-5:30 p.m. In 2021, we saw play suspended due to severe winds. The top 10 players in Good Drives Gained are: Morikawa, Hahn, Fitzpatrick, Lowry, Sungjae Im, Martin Laird, Kevin Streelman, Harris English, Nick Taylor, and Luke List. I mentioned earlier that this weeks winner will need to be excellent in two of the three areas we highlighted either off of the tee, with the irons, or with the short game. SG: P (20-25 ft), P3: 200+andDriving Distancealso saw notable increases in importance compared to TOUR average. Shorter hitters like Kevin Na, Matt Kuchar, and Chez Reavie also found success here. Distance off the tee is never necessarily a disadvantage, but the actual driving distance is 16% lower than the average TOUR course at only 282.5 yards. This event shifted from an Open to an Invitational in 2020 when Woods took over as host. Now it has matured into one of my favorite landscapes to watch golf, as well. Piecing this together, Im looking to hone in on players who are above-average in SG: APP, Prox 150+, SG: ARG, SG: T2G (Difficult Conditions), Course & Comp Course History, and Total Weighted Putting. In any case, the field is still stacked without him, and the Elevated events have not disappointed yet, so we should be in store for another captivating week of high-level golf. Every eligible PGA TOUR member inside the OWGRtop 100 with the exception of Aaron Wise, Maverick McNealy, Chris Kirk, and Ben Griffin are here to tee it up. Total Rating 0%. Nearing 7,500 yards, Bay Hill offers a high concentration of approaches from long range. J.B. Holmes was the PGA Tours longest hitter off the tee in 2011, averaging 306 yards on his tee shots, according to PGA Tour statistics. But it was his putting that proved most consequential. This year, the world will be watching as he prepares to make a surprise return, his first PGA TOUR start since The Open in July 2022. There are just eight players who rank top-40 in scoring from both hole ranges: Max Homa, Collin Morikawa, Jon Rahm, Sungjae Im, Tom Hoge, Jason Day, and Aaron Baddeley. Dustin Johnson tied for 51st among 186 players in scoring average at 70.46 shots per round. The Florida Swing is a cluttered stretch on the PGA TOUR schedule. The tournament is one of five spring college events airing on Golf Channel . For the third straight week, par will be a good score on a majority of holes. Driver a long way, typically in the 290-yard range Nicklaus led the Tour in driving is., this course ranked as the ninth-hardest course on pga tour proximity to hole 50 yards PGA Tour average to. The median driving distance average on the PGA Tour in 2011 was 282 yards. Step 1 - don't panic. Theyll often serve to bail out false fronts where players can make an easier up and down. Im just saying, theres a chance he might not boat race this one! Streaming: Peacock. Hes 3rd in Greens in Regulation, 6th in Scrambling, and 29th in SG Putting. He then cashed in on his rising stock by taking a Saudi paycheck months later and faded to golf obscurity ever since. Fighting for pars will be crucial on a firm, wind-exposed course with just one hole outside of the three par-5s featuring a scoring average below par. The top-10 players in SG: APP entering this week are Tom Hoge, Xander Schauffele, Rory McIlroy, Tom Kim, Collin Morikawa, Scottie Scheffler, Will Zalatoris, Tony Finau, Mark Hubbard, and Shane Lowry. Previewing the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational with our top picks based on the best PGA Tour odds. On average a professional golfer on the PGA Tour or LPGA Tour will hit pitching wedges an average distance of 130-150 yards. Go to the range and map out your 50%-100% distances with every club. What makes Bay Hill so great is the diversity of leaderboards weve seen here. When Tiger Woods invites you to his invitational event with a $20 million purse on the line, its the type of event you work your schedule around. Not many PGA Tour events these days feature 4 of rough plus green complexes that can run as firm as 12 on the stimpmeter if the elements allow. We hate touts. This helps me get shallow which is needed to get lower flight and spin. Heres a look at everything you can expect to help navigate 2023 Genesis Invitational odds. The top 10 players in terms of weighted proximity from this range are Morikawa, Rahm, McIlroy, Young, Fleetwood, Si Woo Kim, Tom Kim, Danny Lee, Justin Rose, and Justin Lower. Agronomically, Torrey Pines (South), TPC Harding Park, and Golf Club de Chapultepec share similar Poa greens and penal Kikuyu rough. Last year, 21.7% of approach shots came from 150-175 yards, which is a touch above the TOUR average of 20.3%. In true Arnie fashion, always tinkering with his swing and his clubs, he did the same over the years with this golf course. Thanks for reading and good luck navigating 2023 Genesis Invitational odds! This will be our last stop on the West Coast swing, so its worth revisiting the Poa specialists: Homa, Rahm, Rodgers, Kuchar, Taylor, Scott, Peter Malnati, Wyndham Clark, Webb Simpson, and Justin Suh. In fact the wedge can make or break a score on a hole. From a putting standpoint, the Bermuda specialists stand out on the Florida Swing. About one-third of approaches will come from beyond 200 yards, and a significant 70% of approaches will come from over 150 yards. It is the Arnold Palmer Invitational at the Bay Hill Club & Lodge in Orlando, where just 120 players comprise what is a stacked field. Scheffler's winning 72-hole score of minus-5 last year was the second in three years but also . I do my practice with Trackman and I carry my 7 iron about 177-180 yards and total distance of 188-192 yards with my TaylorMade PSi irons. 9 could mean Players' first 600-yard hole Courses Golfweek's Best Courses Best You Can Play, state by state Top private courses, state by state Top 200 Resort Golf. No surprise here. The Arnold Palmer Invitational has seen shorter-priced players win, however, in recent history, and I believe that speaks to how demanding the golf course is and the often very challenging weather that comes into play. This event ranked in the bottom two in average Driving Accuracy every year since 2015. A second consecutive elevated event is the perfect way to fill the void left behind for casual sports bettors, especially those with a little extra Super Bowl winnings in their accounts to spare.